Iran: 'Fuse is lit' for full-scale revolution says expert
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Iran is on the brink of a full-scale revolution, but without Western support, its Islamic Fundamentalist rulers are likely to inflict a terrible death toll on its population before being forced from power, an Iranian-American campaigner has warned. Fury has been building ever since the death of Mahsa Amini, 22, arrested for not wearing the hijab or headscarf, in accordance with Government rules, on September 16.
The official explanation provided by the authorities was that she had a heart attack at the police station but multiple witnesses reported seeing her being brutally beaten by police.
Since then, demonstrations have continued throughout the nation, with women and schoolchildren playing a key role.
According to Iran Human Rights, at least 234 people have been killed as of October 25, 2022, including Nika Shakarami, 16, Hadis Najafi, 22, and Sarina Esmailzadeh, 16.
Asked whether a revolution was now in the pipeline, Dr Majid Sadeghpour, political director of The Organization of Iranian American Communities (OIAC) told Express.co.uk: “Unambiguously, without a doubt, the desire is clear.
“In other words, this regime is bankrupt culturally, is bankrupt religiously, is bankrupt economically. It has no answer for the populace and this regime has been on a collision course with mankind for decades.
“The brunt of it has been borne by the people closest to this regime, which is the people of Iran. There have been more than 120,000 executions. It has expanded the slowly outside of Iran with the terrorism as you see in the world.
“But then you have the nuclear issue. This regime unless it is overthrown by the people of Iran, will continue to become a bigger and bigger threat for all of you.”
Asked to guess the number of people killed in the latest protests, Dr Sadeghpour suggested the 234 figure was likely a significant underestimate.
Describing the attitude of the Iranian people to the theocracy, he added: “It is one of absolute hatred of the regime in Iran.
“The slogans are very clear, ‘we will fight we will die. We will reclaim our Iran’.
“They are dying. Iran has the highest number of executions per capita in the world.
“A regime in charge wouldn’t do that unless its people absolutely did not want it.”
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Referring to the recent wave of repression, Mr Sadeghpour said: “These are predatory creatures by nature – it’s in their DNA.
“The way they killed Mahsa Amini was just a microcosm of their hatred towards women in Iran.
And that is why the systemic misogyny in Iran and persecution of women has the form it does.
“Just as anti-Semitism fuelled the fascist views of the Nazis, misogyny fuels the fascist views of these predators in Iran.
“They killed her because she was a woman, they brutally guilty because she resisted.”
Misogyny was deeply ingrained in Iranian society, Mr Sag stressed, with Ms Amini’s refusal to wear to hijab crystallising the situation perfectly.
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He said: “Young women of Iran today are exactly fighting against the very thing that they have been seeking since before the 1979 revolution, which is the choice to either wear or not wear the hijab, to gather or not gather, to speak or not to speak.
“It is their choice, it is an inalienable right of mankind.
“And the girls in Iran historically have been in the forefront because they are being oppressed.”
Asked about the future, Mr Sadeghpour said: “Nobody has a crystal ball but we do have a blueprint of what it looks like.
“Stepping back to Syria for example, the missing factor was not the breadth of uprising against the regime, the majority of people wanted that regime gone.
“But the regime did not fall in large part because there was not an organised opposition to the regime that the world could rally around.
“And the brutality that you saw in Syria, primarily came from the regime in Iran.
“In other words, they’re the ones who showed Assad how to do this.”
Within Iran, if the regime ceased its brutality, it would be overthrown within days, Mr Sadeghpour predicted.
He added: “To use the words of Mike Pompeo, the former director of the CIA and former US Secretary of State, the missing factor in United States policy, even with the maximum pressure policy, was a lack of support for Iran’s organised opposition.”
Iran’s goal was what Mr Sadeghpour called a “Jeffersonian democracy”.
However, he emphasised: “ The question is, at what costs?
“The longer the international community sits on its hands continues to maintain relationships, whether it be Spanish communication giants, still selling technology, or it’d be Google or others, and do not provide the Iranian people the internet they need to survive, if they don’t get the ability to communicate, this massacre being committed behind closed doors will continue.
“This is a matter of life and death. The sooner the international community rallies behind the Iranian opposition, the sooner this regime will be devoid of any ability to manoeuvre and whitewash their crimes.”
Mr Sadeghpour, who left Iran for the United States in 1983 when he was a teenager, and whose own brother was executed by the regime of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, said one of his abiding memories of the country was of constant gunfire.
He said: “Back then I saw people live alive be tied up by their feet to the back of a pickup truck with a rope and dragged around the city until they fell apart, so that everybody in these markets and towns and everybody in their cars and vehicles and motorcycles could see what would happen to them should they want a secular democratic republic in Iran.
“But the secular is pretty much established in the minds of the people. The democratic ideal is established and a republic is established based on their history of the past.
“So what we need to do now is rally the international community to take my memory of the 1980s in Iraq, coupled with the memories and realities and images of what is happening today and come to a decision that this regime must go, and we’re not talking about sending troops on the ground, there are plenty of troops and resources inside.”
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